BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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N Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 251 Overall: (15-16) Overall Strength =   22.11
Conference: Mid-American Record: (8-11) | District: 1-02 Record: (14-15)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-09-2023 Away    L    18.98  62  75    1 170 ( 13- 17) Arkansas St            -3.13     -9.87                      
  2 11-12-2023 Away    L    -7.92  62  95    1 247 ( 18- 12) W Illinois            -30.03     -2.97                      
  3 11-16-2023 Away    L    28.45  60  66    1 149 ( 25-  7) Southern Indiana        6.34    -12.34                      
  4 11-21-2023 Home    W    28.75  77  60    1 324 (  7- 21) Lindenwood              6.64     10.36                      
  5 11-24-2023 Neutral W    33.11  72  55    1 312 ( 15- 18) Radford                11.00      6.00                      
  6 11-25-2023 Neutral W    27.35  67  62    1 250 ( 11- 21) Indiana St              5.24     -0.24                      
  7 11-29-2023 Away    L    18.84  54  75    1 109 ( 15- 17) Wisconsin              -3.28    -17.72                      
  8 12-03-2023 Away    L     7.29  79  89    1 322 (  5- 26) SIUE                  -14.83      4.83                      
  9 12-10-2023 Home    W    29.41  75  66    1 240 ( 17- 16) Detroit                 7.30      1.70                      
 10 12-18-2023 Home    W    29.08  65  55    1 255 ( 15- 18) E Illinois              6.97      3.03                      
 11 12-30-2023 Home    W    22.11  98  32   ZZ 238 (  0-  1) Concordia IL            0.00 *   66.00                      
 12 01-03-2024 Home    L *  -4.75  49  67    1 315 (  7- 22) Eastern Michigan      -26.86      8.86                      
 13 01-06-2024 Home    W *  25.69  58  48    1 285 (  9- 20) Miami OH                3.58      6.42                      
 14 01-10-2024 Away    W *  27.65  67  62    1 268 ( 11- 19) Ohio                    5.54     -0.54                      
 15 01-14-2024 Away    L *  13.82  48  73    1 117 ( 21- 11) Kent                   -8.29    -16.71                      
 16 01-17-2024 Home    L *  17.82  58  65    1 192 ( 19- 14) Buffalo                -4.29     -2.71                      
 17 01-20-2024 Home    W *  25.91  70  57    1 317 (  6- 22) Central Michigan        3.80      9.20                      
 18 01-24-2024 Away    L *  25.41  52  72    1  71 ( 28-  6) Toledo                  3.29    -23.29                      
 19 01-27-2024 Home    L *  17.72  59  61    1 249 ( 11- 18) Akron                  -4.39      2.39                      
 20 01-31-2024 Away    L *  12.96  54  72    1 180 ( 16- 15) Bowling Green          -9.15     -8.85                      
 21 02-07-2024 Home    W *  42.80  76  71 1  1  84 ( 28-  6) Ball St                20.69    -15.69                      
 22 02-10-2024 Home    W    30.10  91  84    1 221 ( 15- 18) Ga Southern             7.99     -0.99                      
 23 02-14-2024 Home    L *   2.49  47  65    1 239 ( 12- 18) Western Michigan      -19.62      1.62                      
 24 02-17-2024 Away    W *  27.54  61  52    1 315 (  7- 22) Eastern Michigan        5.43      3.57                      
 25 02-21-2024 Away    W *  39.11  66  57    1 192 ( 19- 14) Buffalo                17.00     -8.00                      
 26 02-24-2024 Home    L *  16.67  73  82    1 180 ( 16- 15) Bowling Green          -5.44     -3.56                      
 27 02-28-2024 Home    L *  27.11  61  74    1  71 ( 28-  6) Toledo                  5.00    -18.00                      
 28 03-02-2024 Away    L *  10.01  54  69    1 249 ( 11- 18) Akron                 -12.10     -2.90                      
 29 03-06-2024 Away    W *  30.98  56  46    1 285 (  9- 20) Miami OH                8.87      1.13                      
 30 03-09-2024 Away    W *  27.78  66  64    1 239 ( 12- 18) Western Michigan        5.67     -3.67                      
 31 03-13-2024 Neutral L *  33.17  60  63    1 117 ( 21- 11) Kent                   11.06    -14.06                      
      Averages              22.11  64.4 65.6

Best game:   42.80 = 5 point win over Ball St
Worst game:  -7.92 = 33 point loss to W Illinois
Team stdev:  11.67